USDTWD.ai Taiwan Macro Atlas

TSMC CoWoS Capacity Growth vs Taiwan AI Export Demand

Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS) was estimated at 75k wafers/month in 2025.

What the Data Shows

AI accelerators depend on advanced packaging as much as wafer fabrication. Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS) is one bottleneck that connects TSMC’s technology roadmap to global AI server demand. Pairing the capacity estimate with Taiwan’s information and communications technology (ICT) export surge helps explain why packaging capacity became a strategic infrastructure measure, not a niche manufacturing detail.

Data table

2025 CoWoS cap. 75k wpm source-labelled estimate
2024 CoWoS cap. ~37.5k TrendForce
CoWoS growth ~2x 2024 to 2025
ICT exports US$132.5bn MOF 2024
ICT export growth +59.0% 2024 YoY
Demand driver AI/HPC TSMC context

Sources

Source 1: TSMC Set to Expand CoWoS Capacity to 75,000 Wafers in 2025

Publisher: TrendForce

Dataset/table: CoWoS capacity estimate

Units: wafers per month

Date checked: 2026-05-14

Evidence: TrendForce reports an estimated 75,000 wafers per month in 2025, roughly double 2024 output.

Note: TrendForce reports an estimated 75,000 wafers per month in 2025, roughly double 2024 output.

Source 2: 2025 Annual Report - Business Activities

Publisher: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

Dataset/table: CoWoS technology and AI-demand context

Units: qualitative

Date checked: 2026-05-14

Evidence: TSMC says CoWoS advanced packaging has seen strong growth because of surging AI demand.

Note: TSMC says CoWoS advanced packaging has seen strong growth because of surging AI demand.

Source 3: Annual External Trade Report in 2024

Publisher: Ministry of Finance, R.O.C. (Taiwan)

Dataset/table: 2024 export categories

Units: US$ million; percent

Date checked: 2026-05-14

Evidence: MOF reports 2024 ICT/audio-video export value and growth rate.

Note: MOF reports 2024 ICT/audio-video export value and growth rate.

Data notes & caveats

CoWoS capacity is an industry estimate, not a TSMC audited disclosure. Information-and-communications-technology/audio-video exports are broader than AI accelerators but capture the official export category most exposed to AI servers and related hardware.

Methodology

Use TrendForce’s Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS) wafers-per-month estimate for 2025 and its doubling reference versus 2024. Use Ministry of Finance 2024 information-and-communications-technology/audio-video export value and growth as the export-demand side. TSMC annual-report language supplies the official technology context.

Source consistency notes

Capacity is from TrendForce while export data is official MOF. The brief is a source-labelled bottleneck-versus-demand graphic, not a same-source statistical series.